WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0e1f127efeaa7278158bbb21817edf60977088a46ba3685d47274d6928df6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Storm, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Storm | 68c | 90,146$61,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,116.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 36c | 24,369$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,559.54 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Valkyries | 35c | 23,374$8,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,154.4 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Valkyries | 31c | 9,781$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 79c | 6,896$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.76 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valkyries | 32c | 6,877$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.07 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Valkyries | 33c | 5,971$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Valkyries | 33c | 5,900$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 34c | 5,118$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.83 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 52c | 4,244$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Valkyries | 77c | 4,113$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.53 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Valkyries | 33c | 2,892$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Storm | 44c | 2,719$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 80c | 2,340$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 67c | 2,336$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.9 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Valkyries | 31c | 1,650$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 32c | 1,528$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.55 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Valkyries | 32c | 1,469$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.75 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Valkyries | 60c | 956.52$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Valkyries | 64c | 950$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Storm | 4c | 799.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Valkyries | 33c | 723$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Valkyries | 33c | 723$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.71 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 50c | 680$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.55 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Valkyries | 34c | 540$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Storm | 33c | 527.42$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 32c | 438.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valkyries | 32c | 391$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Valkyries | 49c | 308.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Valkyries | 33c | 240$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Valkyries | 32c | 236.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Storm | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Valkyries | 36c | 186.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Storm | 42c | 175.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Storm | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Storm | 67c | 148.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Valkyries | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Valkyries | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Storm | 45c | 133.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…87ebbacked Valkyries | 44c | 125.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Storm | 69c | 113.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Storm | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Storm | 70c | 93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 31c | 87.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Storm | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…f69fbacked Valkyries | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Valkyries | 31c | 67.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Valkyries | 31c | 64.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Valkyries | 31c | 63.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Storm | 68c | 52.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Storm | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 35c | 49.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Valkyries | 31c | 47.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Valkyries | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Storm | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Valkyries | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f8…d6b4backed Valkyries | 65c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.