WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ba6b1592809a8d4b0242649b7aa5ab3b2214ef9f014edc328395320b2a9a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Liberty, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty | 52c | 11,220$5,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.23 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 41c | 6,025$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.4 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 58c | 4,252$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.67 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty | 41c | 4,043$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.88 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Storm | 57c | 4,021$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Storm | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 61c | 3,454$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.15 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Storm | 53c | 3,118$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 46c | 2,139$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.48 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm | 42c | 1,735$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.84 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Storm | 58c | 1,686$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.01 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Liberty | 25c | 1,327$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Liberty | 40c | 1,155$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 59c | 1,102$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 71c | 1,057$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 42c | 703.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 48c | 550$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 34c | 489.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Liberty | 44c | 483.16$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Liberty | 32c | 462.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Liberty | 39c | 417.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Liberty | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Storm | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Liberty | 43c | 265$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Storm | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Liberty | 56c | 147$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Liberty | 39c | 140.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Storm | 49c | 136$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Liberty | 29c | 132.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Liberty | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Storm | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Liberty | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Storm | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Liberty | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Liberty | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Storm | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Storm | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Liberty | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.