MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99a93fb9acae6b36f516877dae3cdbc9c5ceebf00f6a907679d4d90863156be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Phillies, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Phillies | 20c | 10,000$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 21c | 5,418$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 42c | 3,714$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.68 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Phillies | 28c | 3,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 66c | 3,158$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.95 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 58c | 2,644$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.34 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 59c | 2,539$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Astros | 41c | 2,508$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.1 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 40c | 2,176$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 41c | 2,040$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.16 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Astros | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 58c | 1,616$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.28 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Phillies | 60c | 1,572$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.38 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 24c | 1,485$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 42c | 1,379$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Phillies | 34c | 1,343$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,284$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Phillies | 11c | 1,122$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Phillies | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 2c | 928.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 44c | 927.76$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 79c | 912.95$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…c494backed Phillies | 58c | 870$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 2c | 852.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 47c | 840$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 78c | 734.34$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies | 60c | 705$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Astros | 73c | 645.05$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 42c | 599.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Phillies | 35c | 573.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Phillies | 42c | 509.05$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Phillies | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Phillies | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 58c | 459.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Phillies | 59c | 411.86$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Phillies | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 24c | 360.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Phillies | 56c | 357.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Phillies | 57c | 351.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Astros | 58c | 340.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Phillies | 40c | 324.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 10c | 319.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 41c | 309.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Phillies | 25c | 306.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 29c | 295.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 34c | 274$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Phillies | 44c | 257.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Phillies | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 26c | 250$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 77c | 249$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 27c | 244.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 58c | 244.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Astros | 42c | 235.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 32c | 232.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 49c | 229.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 19c | 223.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 57c | 201.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 51c | 198.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Astros | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 41c | 132.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…6ea3backed Astros | 42c | 129.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 41c | 126.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Astros | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Phillies | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Astros | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Astros | 42c | 92.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Astros | 42c | 91.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Phillies | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Phillies | 40c | 71.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Astros | 77c | 71.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Phillies | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Astros | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Phillies | 57c | 66.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Astros | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Phillies | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Astros | 42c | 54.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Phillies | 22c | 52.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Astros | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…f113backed Phillies | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Astros | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Astros | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.