Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. McNally (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcbb2d46433f35a223207ed223d8ff1c7bbda921c9a0d3944f0e0c137efefbe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Swiatek, McNally
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked McNally | 26c | 5,677$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Swiatek | 57c | 4,906$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed McNally | 30c | 4,430$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.71 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked McNally | 9c | 3,250$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.28 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed McNally | 19c | 2,521$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed McNally | 33c | 2,103$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.43 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Swiatek | 58c | 1,733$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.18 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed McNally | 10c | 1,148$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked McNally | 3c | 1,115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked McNally | 10c | 778.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Swiatek | 62c | 625.96$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Swiatek | 62c | 503.27$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Swiatek | 71c | 452.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked McNally | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Swiatek | 72c | 278.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed McNally | 41c | 246.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Swiatek | 57c | 244.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed McNally | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked McNally | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed McNally | 31c | 177.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Swiatek | 66c | 174.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…e4afbacked Swiatek | 59c | 169.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…c43abacked Swiatek | 72c | 161.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed McNally | 13c | 153.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1123…0d76backed McNally | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…5c33backed McNally | 16c | 99.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed McNally | 23c | 50.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Swiatek | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.