Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Paolini vs. Rakhimova (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd062e8a1a8b85b7ec91843c4e09847947e1179a7eaccc359d94591960072680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rakhimovaof Paolini, Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rakhimova | 26c | 16,473$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.67 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rakhimova | 19c | 3,443$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Paolini | 49c | 2,712$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.38 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Paolini | 41c | 2,599$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rakhimova | 28c | 2,268$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rakhimova | 45c | 1,858$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.87 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Paolini | 28c | 1,769$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Paolini | 27c | 1,208$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rakhimova | 29c | 966.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.39 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rakhimova | 60c | 881$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Paolini | 42c | 812.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rakhimova | 59c | 738$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rakhimova | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Rakhimova | 53c | 470.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rakhimova | 29c | 412$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Paolini | 45c | 298.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Rakhimova | 17c | 266.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Paolini | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rakhimova | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rakhimova | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rakhimova | 27c | 194$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Paolini | 43c | 164.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rakhimova | 13c | 105.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…2784backed Rakhimova | 69c | 100.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rakhimova | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…422ebacked Rakhimova | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Rakhimova | 41c | 94.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rakhimova | 41c | 77.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paolini | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…c43abacked Paolini | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Paolini | 45c | 34.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.