Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Ofner vs. Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718b6bbeb278aac88339636615365007b0fdbc1f84d3af3e1e43ddadd819707e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ofner of Ofner , Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ofner | 22c | 14,000$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,961.59 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Paul | 47c | 8,425$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.01 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Ofner | 15c | 6,594$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.53 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Ofner | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Ofner | 57c | 4,809$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ofner | 14c | 2,818$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.86 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Paul | 44c | 2,361$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Paul | 46c | 1,969$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.49 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Paul | 8c | 1,936$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paul | 48c | 1,303$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.33 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ofner | 17c | 873.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.23 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Ofner | 19c | 799.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.98 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Paul | 65c | 771.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Paul | 52c | 642.21$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Paul | 54c | 586.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Paul | 75c | 559$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.34 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ofner | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ofner | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ofner | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Paul | 66c | 476.7$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Paul | 42c | 453.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ofner | 16c | 452$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.49 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Paul | 62c | 448$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Paul | 68c | 404.69$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Ofner | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Paul | 59c | 318.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Paul | 50c | 273.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Ofner | 29c | 208.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ofner | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Ofner | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Paul | 51c | 163.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Paul | 58c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Paul | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Paul | 52c | 142.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Paul | 66c | 127.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Paul | 70c | 127.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ofner | 16c | 121.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Ofner | 56c | 107.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Ofner | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Ofner | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Ofner | 53c | 94.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Ofner | 54c | 91.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Paul | 45c | 84.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Paul | 58c | 61.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Ofner | 54c | 55.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…c43abacked Paul | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ofner | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Paul | 45c | 49.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Paul | 22c | 48.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Paul | 56c | 31.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Paul | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Ofner | 55c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.