Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Pinnington Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fbb8482d584bc1672360a1778a8b95dd2053ac80a3d2b74637c2a538f89e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Jones | 29c | 5,769$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.45 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cobolli | 71c | 4,228$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Jones | 34c | 1,601$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Jones | 27c | 1,263$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jones | 7c | 1,102$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…fc0fbacked Jones | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cobolli | 66c | 908.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jones | 9c | 821$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…8322backed Cobolli | 72c | 665$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Cobolli | 72c | 652$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Cobolli | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Cobolli | 70c | 552.22$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cobolli | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cobolli | 69c | 331.23$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jones | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jones | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Jones | 18c | 318$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cobolli | 72c | 278.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jones | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…75cdbacked Cobolli | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…3040backed Cobolli | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Jones | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Jones | 31c | 79.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Cobolli | 70c | 71.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Jones | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Jones | 34c | 62.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Cobolli | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.