College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State beat Penn State?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23870000c07b381eb9e9440c6dd699bc3a2d0e817132d5232eaa73f8098f0b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stof Ohio St, Penn St
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Penn St | 40c | 7,832$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ohio St | 75c | 5,151$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ohio St | 61c | 5,065$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.41 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Ohio St | 55c | 3,500$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penn St | 39c | 2,906$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.48 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Ohio St | 70c | 2,888$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Penn St | 28c | 2,400$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Penn St | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Ohio St | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penn St | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Penn St | 43c | 581.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Ohio St | 58c | 410.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…50ecbacked Penn St | 30c | 402.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…94cabacked Penn St | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Penn St | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Penn St | 40c | 286.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Penn St | 54c | 265.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Ohio St | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Penn St | 17c | 233.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Penn St | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Penn St | 20c | 204.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Ohio St | 60c | 178.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Ohio St | 77c | 170$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Ohio St | 75c | 137.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Penn St | 36c | 137.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Ohio St | 53c | 123.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Penn St | 54c | 119.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Ohio St | 62c | 110.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ohio St | 62c | 105.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Penn St | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Ohio St | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…e781backed Penn St | 40c | 99.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Ohio St | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Ohio St | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…6334backed Ohio St | 58c | 67.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Ohio St | 59c | 63.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…943ebacked Ohio St | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio St | 55c | 53.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Ohio St | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Ohio St | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Penn St | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Ohio St | 60c | 41.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Ohio St | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…da6dbacked Penn St | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb40…abcbbacked Ohio St | 60c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Ohio St | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…653dbacked Ohio St | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Ohio St | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State beat Penn State?this page
- Will Ohio State and Penn State combine for 47 or more points?Under won
- Will Ohio State beat Penn State by 4 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.