WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d04e6231369217b289dd9356cc7ca74543a7199e4abab96b20663abd81482d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Storm | 62c | 3,708$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Storm | 66c | 3,328$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Fever | 56c | 2,355$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 45c | 2,304$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.72 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Storm | 50c | 1,928$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fever | 43c | 1,905$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.9 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Storm | 64c | 1,672$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Fever | 42c | 1,625$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.43 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Storm | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fever | 55c | 1,359$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever | 38c | 1,247$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.36 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 60c | 1,182$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.32 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Storm | 53c | 1,098$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 52c | 1,019$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Storm | 61c | 872.07$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Storm | 15c | 658.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 38c | 617.07$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.18 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 39c | 536$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Storm | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Storm | 41c | 509.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Storm | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Storm | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fever | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Fever | 79c | 381.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Storm | 59c | 370.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Storm | 57c | 345.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Storm | 60c | 204.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 37c | 203.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…066abacked Fever | 62c | 199.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Storm | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Fever | 40c | 136.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Storm | 20c | 96.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fever | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Storm | 66c | 91.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…61d5backed Storm | 59c | 78.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Fever | 52c | 73.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Fever | 40c | 69.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fever | 73c | 65.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Storm | 30c | 61.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Fever | 67c | 59.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Fever | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Storm | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Fever | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Fever | 61c | 41.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Storm | 62c | 34.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Storm | 59c | 27.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…5ca9backed Fever | 80c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.