NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867555b432d38850896345dd70959b54a810715155d6735bc7e4bca7b77393f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Heat, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 55c | 40,295$22,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,299.01 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Thunder | 44c | 36,439$16,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,304.55 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 74c | 27,415$20,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.56 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Heat | 13c | 26,622$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 40c | 19,749$7,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.4 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 46c | 14,364$6,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.29 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 63c | 9,799$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.52 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 14c | 7,320$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.7 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 14c | 7,100$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 60c | 6,825$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.52 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Heat | 5c | 5,437$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Heat | 12c | 3,955$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 66c | 3,868$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Heat | 29c | 3,455$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 11c | 3,103$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Thunder | 44c | 2,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.77 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Heat | 41c | 2,205$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 26c | 2,204$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Thunder | 40c | 2,116$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.79 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Thunder | 57c | 2,081$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 12c | 2,043$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Heat | 26c | 1,959$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.08 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Heat | 54c | 1,779$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Heat | 12c | 1,698$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 11c | 1,558$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.29 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 13c | 1,464$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Heat | 13c | 1,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 58c | 1,244$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Heat | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 30c | 1,172$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,090$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 64c | 1,085$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 13c | 1,004$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Heat | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 13c | 999.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Thunder | 64c | 945.31$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.31 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Thunder | 38c | 927.08$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.79 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Heat | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…8694backed Thunder | 50c | 802.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 2c | 749.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…af8dbacked Thunder | 55c | 730.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 2c | 658$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Heat | 12c | 654.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 26c | 646.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 14c | 605$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 40c | 580.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Heat | 62c | 577.84$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 37c | 511.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Thunder | 59c | 500.77$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Thunder | 70c | 457.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Heat | 12c | 453.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Heat | 11c | 449.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Heat | 22c | 445.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 8c | 437$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Heat | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Heat | 14c | 400.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Heat | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 13c | 378.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Heat | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Heat | 15c | 335.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 13c | 328.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Thunder | 49c | 320$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…511ebacked Heat | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Heat | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…f9a6backed Thunder | 68c | 277.54$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Heat | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Thunder | 38c | 261.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…de14backed Heat | 12c | 256.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Heat | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Heat | 48c | 236.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Thunder | 36c | 235.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Heat | 17c | 233.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Heat | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Thunder | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…e874backed Thunder | 48c | 196.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…7c62backed Thunder | 45c | 193.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked Heat | 13c | 192.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 52c | 191.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Heat | 14c | 178.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Heat | 13c | 168.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Thunder | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Heat | 10c | 145.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Heat | 23c | 144.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Thunder | 44c | 138.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Heat | 28c | 131.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867f…2bbbbacked Thunder | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Thunder | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Thunder | 54c | 121.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 58c | 119.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Heat | 54c | 115.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Heat | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Heat | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…84e8backed Heat | 36c | 110.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…5c5fbacked Thunder | 56c | 107.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Heat | 13c | 105.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.