Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18a4859c113531d2688db5b8989d2eafd3e5174c3263428bc38e7db92ae518e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof North Texas Mean Green, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 3,039$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.9 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas Mean Green | 69c | 2,715$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 54c | 2,611$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 1,239$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.69 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 8c | 1,005$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers | 31c | 652.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 247.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed North Texas Mean Green | 73c | 137.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…7116backed North Texas Mean Green | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 108.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed North Texas Mean Green | 42c | 59.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed North Texas Mean Green | 41c | 52.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Oregon State Beavers | 59c | 52.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Texas Mean Green | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed North Texas Mean Green | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.