WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece1c76e909296adf0f057176a8118013b6a96b9d22649ee5bc066c666817628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Mystics, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Aces | 77c | 24,098$18,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,644.24 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 21c | 17,525$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.69 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 25c | 9,670$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280.16 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 42c | 8,094$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.25 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mystics | 72c | 5,253$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.65 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 25c | 5,126$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.86 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mystics | 76c | 4,350$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 76c | 2,621$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.72 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Mystics | 80c | 2,620$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mystics | 22c | 2,395$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.45 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mystics | 21c | 2,367$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Aces | 75c | 2,288$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.49 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aces | 45c | 1,797$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 23c | 1,749$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.72 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mystics | 28c | 1,114$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mystics | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mystics | 22c | 922.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.68 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 21c | 915.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.98 | 858 | 58.3%500 W · 358 L | +69.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mystics | 22c | 863.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.64 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 45c | 859.56$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.34 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aces | 74c | 663$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.62 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mystics | 21c | 660$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mystics | 25c | 655$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Aces | 75c | 618$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mystics | 22c | 551.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mystics | 35c | 498.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Aces | 79c | 483.74$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Aces | 75c | 432.32$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…066abacked Mystics | 57c | 309$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Aces | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Aces | 79c | 299$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Aces | 70c | 296.64$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Aces | 64c | 267.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Aces | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Mystics | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Aces | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mystics | 23c | 172$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mystics | 25c | 139$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Aces | 11c | 104.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mystics | 26c | 103.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 22c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mystics | 22c | 52.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Aces | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Aces | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Aces | 78c | 45.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Aces | 51c | 30.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Aces | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.