Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eec32a66d8e4e069f98dcf7c453a2acab45327926e2ae0488a49a6aa4fd2a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc78b…3f7ebacked Under | 51c | 23,654$12,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,590.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…f855backed Over | 49c | 23,281$11,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,407.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…69e3backed Over | 49c | 23,049$11,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,294.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…c64fbacked Under | 51c | 22,674$11,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,110.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,926$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 2,643$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.21 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 2,427$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 753.7$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.08 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 54c | 744.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.93 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 51c | 699.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 37c | 206.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 54c | 185.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 184.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 55.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 48c | 49.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 57c | 39.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed Under | 46c | 31.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 56c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.