Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1592317f8a86f708733d319f0b7743468746613589b8c562ac8b928ce361c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof PSV, FC Volendam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed PSV | 56c | 1,507$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Volendam | 44c | 843$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed FC Volendam | 44c | 749.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed FC Volendam | 44c | 727.27$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Volendam | 43c | 660.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Volendam | 41c | 596.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked PSV | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed PSV | 59c | 445.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked FC Volendam | 41c | 409$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed PSV | 60c | 355.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PSV | 56c | 279.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed PSV | 56c | 268$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed PSV | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed PSV | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked PSV | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed FC Volendam | 42c | 163.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked PSV | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked FC Volendam | 39c | 97.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Volendam | 41c | 93.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed PSV | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked PSV | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked PSV | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed PSV | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…f64cbacked PSV | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked PSV | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked PSV | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…bf43backed PSV | 60c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)this page
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.