NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcdd8e4f36a1b58c2cec363bfb3446285aea63e8df18e6dfca2171511a2eb6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Cardinals, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cardinals | 4c | 7,785$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals | 29c | 4,068$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.95 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 69c | 3,582$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.38 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Packers | 69c | 3,386$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.61 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Cardinals | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 8c | 2,540$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 69c | 2,291$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.31 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Cardinals | 31c | 2,282$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.3 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Cardinals | 2c | 1,180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Packers | 69c | 1,107$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 69c | 1,040$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Cardinals | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 9c | 890$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Cardinals | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cardinals | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Cardinals | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Cardinals | 33c | 457.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Cardinals | 31c | 418.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Cardinals | 33c | 417.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…c699backed Packers | 69c | 379.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 69c | 352$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cardinals | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 69c | 323$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Cardinals | 31c | 303.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Packers | 69c | 301.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Cardinals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Packers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Cardinals | 17c | 270.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Cardinals | 30c | 248.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Cardinals | 7c | 231.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…dc01backed Cardinals | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Cardinals | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…3dc2backed Cardinals | 32c | 185$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…761abacked Cardinals | 32c | 160.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…787bbacked Cardinals | 32c | 157.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Cardinals | 33c | 152.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Packers | 67c | 149.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Packers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Packers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d692backed Packers | 70c | 142.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed Cardinals | 32c | 142.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Packers | 68c | 139.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…cdfcbacked Cardinals | 33c | 135.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Cardinals | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Packers | 69c | 123.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Cardinals | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…5536backed Packers | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Packers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Cardinals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Cardinals | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…6ca1backed Cardinals | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…aa21backed Cardinals | 25c | 98.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Cardinals | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…7e26backed Cardinals | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…9826backed Packers | 69c | 90.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Packers | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Cardinals | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Cardinals | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…c932backed Packers | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Cardinals | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Packers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Packers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Packers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Packers | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Packers | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Cardinals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Cardinals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Cardinals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…b379backed Cardinals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Packers | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Packers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…baadbacked Cardinals | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Cardinals | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Cardinals | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Cardinals | 32c | 41.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Packers | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…1606backed Cardinals | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Packers | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…d9e6backed Packers | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Cardinals | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Cardinals | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Packers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…dbc4backed Packers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Packers | 77c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7d…6b8fbacked Packers | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…5c68backed Packers | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…4666backed Packers | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…c94dbacked Packers | 70c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.