Fifa International · resolved market
Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc07803baf5f8cf573f12f5847d0e3c97f72ee868d665fcc54e5faab9164b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Under | 47c | 1,396$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 47c | 1,006$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 56c | 716.25$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 3c | 443$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 51c | 373.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 357.06$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 6c | 333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 49c | 253.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 71c | 236.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 211.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 184.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 166.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 156.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 34c | 141.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 55c | 112.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 55.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 52c | 46.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 42.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5this page
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.