Fifa International · resolved market
Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88b16ed1b377b6f142b3c7f8678625a33e99919a44fdf1aec52c420b65008f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 462.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.01 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 43c | 231.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 45c | 202.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 43c | 189.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 185.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 169.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 149.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 118$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 113.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…2188backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 95.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 27c | 76.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 56.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 60c | 49.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5this page
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.