Fifa International · resolved market
Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67ad4b28344b34121abd926b3576ed5e0fa26bc4ba5829ba41f054456fd13f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 3,860$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.02 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 185$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 155.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 74c | 132.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 76c | 132.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 22c | 120.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 24c | 94.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 85.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 23c | 74.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 72.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…2188backed Over | 22c | 65.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 20c | 59.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 75c | 48.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 77c | 44.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5this page
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.