TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over66c20,000$13,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,184.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over63c9,959$6,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,276.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c9,924$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,253.1413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c3,800$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.6143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under62c2,000$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.063080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c1,761$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.7815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under34c1,750$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1552568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,432$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.2998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over71c1,129$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c749.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.994753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c617.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7219849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over66c612.22$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.073537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under32c592.59$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under44c550.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.878048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c478.29$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under34c472$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under34c450$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over49c427.41$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.455925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over38c393.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.621926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c327.2$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9430954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over58c309.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under33c290.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c270.43$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c270.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c252.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707162%44 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc518…b9bebacked Over61c248.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c207.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under34c189.15$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.842740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.810448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over77c158.84$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.316050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.57365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x143e…375bbacked Over67c149.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c138.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.477254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over53c133$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.491811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a80…f05abacked Over41c98.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over57c96.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.531030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…dc7cbacked Under36c80.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c77.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under30c75.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c75.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.456823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c65.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a65…3340backed Over48c64.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under30c59.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.648747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Under34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+112%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Under45c58.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under70c48.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.262634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under34c41.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.213050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…8e90backed Under58c40.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over40c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over61c38.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over53c37.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c37.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9216865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x75be…9812backed Under62c35.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over37c35.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.124252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Under32c31.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over57c31.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under36c27.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Under70c23.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over65c21.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.224938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Over54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.