Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2707817fdc7155b74dbd8fd6b8be1768b27b7918bba926e6677b5295b3173a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Coast Mariners FCof Auckland FC, Central Coast Mariners FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Auckland FC | 33c | 619.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 73c | 249.37$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 67c | 246$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auckland FC | 29c | 118.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Auckland FC | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Auckland FC | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Auckland FC | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 80c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)this page
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.