Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adb58839cf15ce3ea081092f4c2d6f4d2de015162ca5fa285e19b79665df9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Coast Mariners FCof Auckland FC, Central Coast Mariners FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Auckland FC | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Auckland FC | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 2,644$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Auckland FC | 48c | 1,897$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Auckland FC | 19c | 882.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 78c | 860.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Auckland FC | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Auckland FC | 59c | 301.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Auckland FC | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Auckland FC | 50c | 182.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 50c | 151.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Auckland FC | 48c | 69.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Auckland FC | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 45c | 56.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Auckland FC | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 26.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Auckland FC | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Central Coast Mariners FC | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Central Coast Mariners FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)this page
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.