Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b75ededcb53ad052422f59a56bac0e11c2e9bba66a7a3c5041451e2d5b18ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 57c | 1,054$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 845.18$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.7 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 738.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.94 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yes | 56c | 375$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 289.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 225.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…1b4cbacked Yes | 53c | 217.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…f104backed No | 47c | 217$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…9fbdbacked No | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…dcb4backed Yes | 53c | 213.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…cccfbacked Yes | 53c | 207.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…cac5backed Yes | 53c | 207.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…2b14backed No | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…09ecbacked No | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…f161backed No | 47c | 203$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…8e6cbacked No | 47c | 203$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…0485backed Yes | 53c | 202.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…5b12backed Yes | 53c | 201.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…7f95backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…946fbacked No | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…2bd5backed Yes | 53c | 195.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbb…1da6backed Yes | 53c | 195.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…c6cfbacked Yes | 53c | 195.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…eeb9backed No | 47c | 194$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…70aabacked Yes | 53c | 190.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…e6d8backed No | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…375bbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 57c | 176.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 78c | 161.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 137.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…6ed7backed No | 40c | 100.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 61.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 53.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 51.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 44.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 44c | 41.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 57c | 41.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 57c | 36.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 70c | 32.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.