TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x464a…d107backed Over40c13,000$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+80.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7201968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over46c3,396$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c2,815$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.8646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over46c2,100$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9663946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c2,037$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.043647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under57c1,750$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.52568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Under51c1,269$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over46c1,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over50c804.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c761.71$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c647.55$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under54c453.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4319849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over37c406.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over43c390$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.73537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c384.22$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under57c383$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c382.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c299.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under51c218.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.026746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked Under53c199.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under69c187.79$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.063080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc26c…b7cabacked Over6c171.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+197.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c110.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.728353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.355853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c102.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.968853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c101.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.998747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c99.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.982548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over16c96.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.636823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.256563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under54c73.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over49c70.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.922147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218a…181bbacked Under50c66.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743b…ada6backed Under50c66.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…c208backed Under50c66.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5d…fc3dbacked Under50c66.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed Under50c66.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612e…d36ebacked Under50c65.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2d…4af9backed Under50c65.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…e053backed Under50c65.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…2562backed Under50c65.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…981abacked Under50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…606fbacked Under50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under61c64.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.133158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2164…a853backed Under50c64.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…6e75backed Under50c64.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b5…ca30backed Under50c64.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564e…ceb4backed Under50c63.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13a…b333backed Under50c63.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…915abacked Under50c63.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…772cbacked Under50c63.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…9009backed Under50c63.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4a…36b7backed Under50c63.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ca…cbddbacked Under50c63.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…7fe5backed Under50c63.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731d…a066backed Under50c63.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb3…6c6fbacked Under50c63.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…7efbbacked Under50c63.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4a…a880backed Under50c62.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe851…8395backed Under50c62.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5812…90a9backed Under50c62.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0a…cb1dbacked Under50c62.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73de…ea44backed Under50c62.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…c9ebbacked Under50c62.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668f…5303backed Under50c62.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e7…0cebbacked Under50c62.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a54…8428backed Under50c62.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e6…3544backed Under50c62.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa10…3b30backed Under50c62.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…f4d7backed Under50c62.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168b…e8b8backed Under50c62.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x818a…3408backed Under50c62.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…373ebacked Under50c62.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63fa…b6edbacked Under50c62.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.