CS2 · resolved market
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d18009cb917e3434f12b20447a499d00a7b9f0db70ef53e8103c600ea40b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed No | 54c | 3,361$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.96 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Yes | 31c | 1,638$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 40c | 835$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes | 53c | 630$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed No | 55c | 509.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Yes | 24c | 378.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 299.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…a602backed Yes | 70c | 262.66$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…e58bbacked Yes | 53c | 247.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 239$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 45c | 230$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…e91fbacked Yes | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 60c | 198.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…b25bbacked Yes | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 178$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…9fb7backed Yes | 56c | 174.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…d5bcbacked Yes | 55c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 116.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…6286backed Yes | 51c | 82.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 20c | 68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 64.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…bc74backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…1c7abacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed Yes | 43c | 46.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ece8backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…c718backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…7051backed Yes | 44c | 35.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229e…16d2backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…15b2backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 68c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 65c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 78c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?this page
- Will 9INE Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
- Will Betclic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?Yes won
- Will EAC Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
- Will HOTU Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
- Will Johnny Speeds Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
- Will Lilmix Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
- Will fnatic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.