Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f70cbcb339e89bb453e786f810554c0a34d95933ec82d051e51263c55c02708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,503$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.29 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 59c | 1,823$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 74c | 727.39$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 568.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.68 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 41c | 485$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…3381backed Yes | 39c | 217.68$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 58c | 178.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 60c | 164.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…3288backed No | 64c | 134.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 90.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…8b4ebacked No | 64c | 83.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 41c | 73.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 60c | 66.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…f4efbacked No | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 41c | 49.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 46.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…df92backed Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…50f3backed No | 60c | 38.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…bfb6backed Yes | 37c | 38.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…99edbacked No | 61c | 37.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…ab44backed Yes | 43c | 36.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…0b54backed Yes | 39c | 36.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…7076backed Yes | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…d6eebacked Yes | 39c | 35.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…005fbacked No | 61c | 35.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e95backed Yes | 38c | 34.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…2e75backed No | 62c | 34.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…442dbacked Yes | 38c | 34.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…bf6bbacked No | 62c | 33.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…5a9ebacked Yes | 38c | 33.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…1068backed No | 61c | 33.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…3ffdbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fa5backed Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…a981backed Yes | 39c | 31.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…cfc3backed No | 61c | 31.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…0b1ebacked No | 61c | 30.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…9858backed Yes | 39c | 30.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…4942backed Yes | 39c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…8157backed No | 61c | 30.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…931dbacked No | 35c | 29.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…7c02backed Yes | 62c | 28.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…e828backed No | 60c | 28.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…4d29backed Yes | 39c | 27.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…2dc2backed Yes | 39c | 26.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…1071backed No | 61c | 26.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…c8b9backed No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b18abacked No | 61c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…278bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…4c93backed No | 60c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…1d76backed No | 58c | 23.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…19e6backed No | 57c | 23.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…7ce7backed No | 60c | 22.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1b39backed No | 59c | 22.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…b7acbacked No | 62c | 22.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…ae73backed No | 62c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…f065backed No | 61c | 20.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…04ddbacked No | 61c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…9b53backed No | 62c | 19.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…70b9backed No | 63c | 19.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…3cd0backed No | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…18f1backed No | 60c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…a264backed No | 62c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…4b54backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…4f60backed No | 62c | 17.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…e6a3backed No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…7b99backed No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…837fbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…56bfbacked No | 61c | 16.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…4ea8backed No | 63c | 16.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?this page
- Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?No won
- Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.