Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db75759e7e4680ed213f83c6724d082f6f5e6371e3064904fffe8f1380c5021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 76c | 13,380$10,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.59 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 2c | 9,993$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed No | 22c | 7,753$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 3c | 7,501$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.46 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 60c | 6,821$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 3c | 6,313$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked No | 20c | 6,145$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 5c | 5,612$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…3c65backed No | 2c | 5,143$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked No | 37c | 4,746$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c9…7f71backed No | 52c | 3,302$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 3,027$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.73 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 49c | 2,671$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…a4fabacked Yes | 59c | 2,663$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…8c0dbacked No | 5c | 2,642$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,458$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 78c | 2,367$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,249$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.66 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…a50bbacked No | 4c | 1,968$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…0dd7backed Yes | 57c | 1,954$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 20c | 1,588$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.1 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 12c | 1,552$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…2480backed Yes | 8c | 1,399$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,343$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 20c | 1,325$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked No | 5c | 1,319$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 35c | 1,315$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…0f38backed Yes | 6c | 1,263$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 59c | 1,247$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…6d98backed Yes | 3c | 1,225$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +605.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed No | 7c | 1,200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 42c | 1,164$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 3c | 1,113$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfd…e025backed No | 61c | 1,030$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…2ad1backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +454.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 900$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.01 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 4c | 849.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.01 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5069…4958backed Yes | 17c | 832.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +399.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 67c | 823.16$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…6f77backed Yes | 19c | 809.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…712cbacked No | 2c | 807.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…e092backed No | 6c | 803.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 9c | 789.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…f0cfbacked Yes | 64c | 779.03$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…f3edbacked No | 55c | 741.68$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…3a88backed Yes | 3c | 740.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +1,750.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cae…68f6backed No | 7c | 731.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…5ddebacked Yes | 55c | 718.71$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked Yes | 64c | 675.95$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.47 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 15c | 660$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +560%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…e4afbacked Yes | 3c | 575.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +952.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 63c | 575.65$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 28c | 537.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 70c | 533.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 57c | 510.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 63c | 503.23$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 64c | 498$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…24b3backed Yes | 60c | 477.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ee…f0a7backed No | 22c | 476.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 12c | 473.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.68per pick | 7cpaid | +1,189.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 13c | 441.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 23c | 438$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 381.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…2829backed Yes | 72c | 364.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3f46backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 7c | 348$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 342.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 35c | 328.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes | 5c | 321.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +675.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed Yes | 45c | 314.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…5ef7backed No | 67c | 298.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…2404backed Yes | 5c | 294$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +300%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed Yes | 49c | 265$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…420fbacked Yes | 4c | 255.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 6c | 255$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…2e61backed No | 46c | 249.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…9458backed Yes | 64c | 225$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…9695backed Yes | 20c | 223$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +121%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed No | 24c | 219.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 16c | 200.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 13c | 195$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked No | 28c | 192.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 56c | 178.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Yes | 69c | 173.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Yes | 8c | 169$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +250.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7b…8baebacked Yes | 62c | 168.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690a…0813backed Yes | 18c | 165.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +447.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2531backed Yes | 45c | 159.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked No | 33c | 151.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…c003backed Yes | 67c | 148.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…bcf9backed Yes | 75c | 139.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…6253backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed No | 80c | 118.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.