Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3153b5a6f63ac05706f636ba55ce38a0d2030bda830118ceeebf8b67ded24199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Glory FCof Sydney FC, Perth Glory FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Perth Glory FC | 62c | 1,182$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.15 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Sydney FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Sydney FC | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Sydney FC | 30c | 774.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Perth Glory FC | 64c | 439$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Sydney FC | 36c | 339$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Sydney FC | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…7baabacked Perth Glory FC | 50c | 188.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…2fb8backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 188.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…e2bfbacked Perth Glory FC | 50c | 186.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…bcb4backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 186.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Perth Glory FC | 70c | 185.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4eeabacked Perth Glory FC | 50c | 185.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…4666backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 185.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…d649backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 185.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…2ff7backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 184.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…7796backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 184.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…70e5backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 183.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…4e41backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 183.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…ceb4backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 183.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…0b53backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 183.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…b6edbacked Perth Glory FC | 50c | 183.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f7e2backed Perth Glory FC | 50c | 179.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Sydney FC | 36c | 172.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sydney FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Perth Glory FC | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…44fbbacked Sydney FC | 38c | 93.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Perth Glory FC | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Perth Glory FC | 65c | 77.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Perth Glory FC | 60c | 73.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sydney FC | 39c | 58.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Sydney FC | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Sydney FC | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…9bc4backed Sydney FC | 40c | 49.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Sydney FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Perth Glory FC | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Perth Glory FC | 60c | 40.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Sydney FC | 39c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Perth Glory FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.