La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0866ca08295acb8973dd1bee4789a5ff0d22c4723224f9322d29865217892e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 999.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 723.11$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 60c | 395.53$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 368.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 16c | 301.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 242.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 54c | 201.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 177.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 78c | 172.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 69cpaid | +51%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 56c | 166.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 153.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 112.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 43c | 98.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 18c | 71.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 69.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 61.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 54c | 36.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed No | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Yes | 56c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.