La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2899072348f1ae21987b91666f52b0a015ee49dd7a6864de55a3365983f7b1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 556.52$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 68c | 439.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 9c | 342.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 338.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 65c | 280.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 280$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 41c | 242.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 157.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 22c | 116.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 69c | 85.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 75.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 59.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 53.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 47.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 50c | 47.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.