La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8584028a545cb7544b49beaf403235c82f67cbe3d7dd44a78ed667290b47462d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 67c | 12,993$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 3,338$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.53 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 39c | 1,948$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.69 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 1,125$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 33c | 767.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 730.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 686.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 681$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Over | 61c | 507.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 482.89$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 388$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 190.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 33c | 182.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 34c | 181.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 164.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…614fbacked Over | 61c | 129.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 33c | 109$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 77c | 109$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 33c | 108.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 65c | 107.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Under | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Under | 33c | 95.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 34c | 91.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 36c | 79.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Over | 61c | 62.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 34c | 59.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 61c | 55.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 35c | 54.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 34c | 47.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 40.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 80c | 39.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 80c | 38.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 65c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.