Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde23c41797a1c39023eee346203fc0785e0645fccf7854d7fc01eb1e9af5d477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 29c | 6,739$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.28 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beijing Guoan FC | 29c | 1,409$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 1,092$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 76c | 995.82$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 910$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 20c | 694.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Beijing Guoan FC | 30c | 571.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 399.85$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Beijing Guoan FC | 23c | 299.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Beijing Guoan FC | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Guoan FC | 11c | 277.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 259.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Beijing Guoan FC | 39c | 227.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Beijing Guoan FC | 30c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 76c | 174.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 156$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 156$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 23c | 155.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Beijing Guoan FC | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Beijing Guoan FC | 18c | 125.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Beijing Guoan FC | 17c | 107.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Beijing Guoan FC | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Beijing Guoan FC | 26c | 94.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 70c | 91.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Beijing Guoan FC | 29c | 62.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 74c | 52.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Beijing Guoan FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Beijing Guoan FC | 28c | 49.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Beijing Guoan FC | 30c | 46.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 36.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 74c | 36.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Beijing Guoan FC | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 77c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 77c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.