Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b871a7c747a6571d69fd1ec3933836fb625a9abc5673018df32f542185227d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 4,045$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.4 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 34c | 3,809$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 6c | 3,136$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 37c | 1,188$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 6c | 1,106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 7c | 757.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 38c | 697.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 38c | 662.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 491.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 37c | 390.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 65 | 92.3%60 W · 5 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 334.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 22c | 273.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 120.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…50fdbacked Under | 68c | 76.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 56.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 52.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 27.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 74c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 75c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.