Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed2ea429b7824388ac63ad8fbe943a1ce8c44b1e35059d4daeed94bd648264b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 2,285$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 30c | 1,545$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.23 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 1,277$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…1140backed Under | 43c | 1,220$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 68c | 930.24$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 736.17$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 641.09$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 31c | 622.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 69c | 508.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 31c | 352.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 245.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 17c | 214.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 175.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Over | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 128.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 120.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 114.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 114.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 50c | 100.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 71c | 92.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 58c | 85.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 81.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 63c | 78.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 17c | 63.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 60.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 30c | 54.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 74c | 31.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 70c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 70c | 19.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 70c | 19.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 70c | 16.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.