Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f939a332613c80956ba8fa97382f223661ab6df301eb0e74ae3759ac68fb835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 64c | 1,686$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,049$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.35 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 54c | 741.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.56 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 57c | 709.76$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.96 | 560 | 47%263 W · 297 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 564.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 516.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 507.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 489.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 37c | 445.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 48c | 368.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 52c | 324.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 55c | 316.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 279$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 259.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 243.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 236.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 233.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 210.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 184.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 182.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 46c | 163.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 162.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 159.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 78.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 74.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 48c | 73.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 66.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 64.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 56.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 49.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 51c | 45.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 44.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 42c | 40.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 90 | 6.7%6 W · 84 L | -22.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 52c | 25.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed Over | 51c | 24.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.