Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619b5943d1d45c3309c71e0a26f02c3e85533ede6b09b0252f27a69e943bea12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 72c | 8,834$6,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 27c | 5,403$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.91 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 1,653$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Over | 27c | 1,356$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 26c | 1,145$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 25c | 913.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 72c | 613.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 73c | 501.37$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 370.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 348.69$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 214$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 31c | 189.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 28c | 172.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 29c | 86.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e45…8c38backed Under | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 28c | 43.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…31a2backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 73c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Team to Take First CornerCzechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.