Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d96a90ab56a259b8a878d4f3f4bf62c1d6d5e197442343acdb507072e882bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over | 43c | 1,678$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 1,206$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.77 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 58c | 1,037$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 547.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 328.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 41c | 249.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed Under | 59c | 229$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 42c | 183.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…83adbacked Over | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…0b64backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…b2fcbacked Under | 57c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…c806backed Under | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Team to Take First CornerCzechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.