Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93101461ed2416c42ad5672102141fd0678702c03344552620fc5c50a4f2ae56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 41c | 1,498$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 1,143$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.17 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 48c | 436.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 52c | 381.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Over | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 305.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…0873backed Over | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 54c | 255$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 46c | 202.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Under | 55c | 194.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 178.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Under | 54c | 159.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 47c | 118.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 107.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 35c | 69.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 63c | 53.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 49.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 35.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 46c | 33.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Team to Take First CornerCzechia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.