La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e07685f36ff897388fab1bd3d45d9de8f00c618102eac633f75e1c30df2d529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 59c | 20,578$12,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,171.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 6,414$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.31 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 5,336$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.7 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 39c | 2,652$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.34 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 1,220$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.47 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,026$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.67 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 648.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…5eeabacked Under | 41c | 389.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 356.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 330.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 232.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 229$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 171$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 41c | 149.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 145.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…99c5backed Under | 41c | 112.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 61c | 110.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 61c | 110.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Under | 46c | 105.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 40c | 80.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 40c | 62.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 41c | 47.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 40c | 44.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 42.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under | 42c | 35.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Over | 61c | 29.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 27.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Over | 55c | 20.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 63c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)UD Almería won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.