Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb3e7934b67da0d754f9b32dc582cf49c9585e5da69a646bd2a8596f3165eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 54c | 8,687$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 2,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 1,941$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.94 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,555$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.71 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,434$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 633.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 35c | 407.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 310$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 277.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Under | 65c | 214.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 129.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 112.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 63c | 111.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 65c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 63.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 46c | 57.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 58c | 25.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 78c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.