Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a128fa755cf9f8593a39426aca258888e2cea8d00a6f148589151749bf4df74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 51c | 21,912$11,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,117$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.26 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 46c | 824.57$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 49c | 520$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 49c | 520$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 429.52$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 346.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 33c | 299.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 268.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 8c | 218$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 47c | 107.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 47.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 45.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 48c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.