South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d7d5963356b4a984314b7a9580de6bc9be6e9dbab396530401417b8f588033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 61c | 24,839$15,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.15 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 39c | 13,495$5,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 38c | 12,219$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,870$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 963.37$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 391.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 314.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 246.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 233.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 185.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 169.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 59c | 145$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 79c | 125.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 121.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 60c | 108.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 62c | 101.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 56c | 87.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 48c | 37.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 60c | 30.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a6f6backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.