La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de0d74bf83f3faa1dcc9e1e4e1cb5e81951cb21e535edd8ffda6154e05dae02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 45c | 7,412$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 3,564$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 2,755$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.89 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,340$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 672.9$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 637.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 55c | 524.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 486.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 243.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Under | 32c | 222.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 220.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 173.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 171.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Over | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 101.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 97.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 95.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Over | 52c | 84.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 80.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 64c | 76.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 57.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 45c | 41.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 50c | 27.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 49c | 27.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 55c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 48c | 22.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 56c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Real Sporting de Gijón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.