Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6622f40a31f0e15bbd1db61b61ef9337b16bf92c0d24b1437e127a8517b04fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 42c | 5,504$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 3,385$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,279$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Under | 77c | 1,203$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 844.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 674.94$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 33c | 575.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 431.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 33c | 299.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Under | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 63c | 243.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 61c | 223.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 197.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 195.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 58c | 186.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 77c | 128.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 66c | 88.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 79.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 79.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 59c | 78.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 69.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 61c | 58.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 44.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 67c | 44.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 42c | 42.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 39.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 68c | 38.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…32c5backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 33.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…2d86backed Under | 63c | 33.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 58c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 62c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 66c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Under | 63c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 61c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed Under | 68c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.