Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304bee036626340d9b1dc7597601cc4bf9e8ca2bc8ded646cba849393a1552dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 451.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 370.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 32c | 291.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.47 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 199.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 65c | 150.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 128.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 105.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Yes | 44c | 85.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 49.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 60c | 45.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 69c | 42.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 64c | 33.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…95c7backed No | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 71c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 66c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 67c | 23.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 67c | 23.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.