Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652daa45e90127983aa0da920fc2657da076d9fc99b77fd35d1d50337949bb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 25c | 1,008$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 47c | 889.36$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 747.39$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.82 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 653.23$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 557.38$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 52c | 544.6$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 41c | 521$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 455.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 438.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 372.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 324.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 46c | 221.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 210.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 55c | 138.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 26c | 119.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 65.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 47c | 62.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 59.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 49.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 52c | 48.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Over | 32c | 43.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 54c | 38.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 54c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 46c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 47c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.