Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b71e4522996166ab6a4b2658d2d3e311418eabc5d7f50c2977c91051a02b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 2,226$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.41 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 1,973$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,850$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 34c | 1,237$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.58 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 799.79$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 354.64$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 167.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 33c | 134.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 34c | 124.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 17c | 113.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 65.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 59.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 30c | 55.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 50.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 69c | 27.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 71c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 69c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 76c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.