Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d134333554751e7fbb179b1ae603128a6a424805ee9d7b179abb5f6e95f884b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 3,376$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 50c | 2,622$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 53c | 1,416$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,085$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 892.7$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 820.21$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.99 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 628.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 21c | 564.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 422.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 329.14$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 51c | 314.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 255.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 51c | 234.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 217.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 52c | 211.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 210.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…ab25backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 51c | 194.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 149$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 124.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 51c | 85.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 60.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 27c | 55.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 40.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…516cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 36.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 23.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.