Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bbce12047967fabe089319e0aa6a07ddfdc92dd4a3c37da97929dd337f0440b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 3,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,247$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.96 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 800.94$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.44 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 49c | 532$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 513.13$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 49c | 460$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 199.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 48c | 139.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 50c | 133.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 101.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 88.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 76.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 37.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 76c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.