Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x888dc5f36483f851d00ee9e263e26837ea553bbf47704e934462ed86993a6843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 7,224$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.33 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 4,399$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 12c | 2,453$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.5 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 45c | 980.02$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 35c | 836.57$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 421.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 389.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 47c | 319.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 34c | 282.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 265.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 143.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 50c | 124.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 24c | 121.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 51c | 119.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 40.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 43c | 27.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 58c | 18.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.