Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd4d49a6ce3350dbc1871d73205d525c4dccc82d39b94c7403487f543df9f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 1,682$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 1,188$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 70c | 663.91$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.56 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 68c | 591.97$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.54 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 68c | 459.97$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.78 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 392.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 32c | 372.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.14 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 32c | 275.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 237.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 70c | 224.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 146.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 142.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 30c | 79.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 31c | 76.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 48.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 41.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 32c | 37.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 68c | 19.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 70c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.